A player participates in 3 matches against three teams $T_1, T_2$ and $T_3$.The probability of winning a match against teams $T_1, T_2$ and $T_3$ are 0.2, 0.3 and 0.9 respectively. If 'wins' can be regarded as independent events, then the probability that he (A) wins all the 3 matches is 0.054 Choose the correct answer from the options given below: |
(A), (C) and (D) only (B), (C) and (D) only (A) and (C) only (A) and (D) only |
(A), (C) and (D) only |
The correct answer is Option (1) → (A), (C) and (D) only (A) wins all the 3 matches is 0.054 (Correct) Let $P_1 = 0.2$, $P_2 = 0.3$, $P_3 = 0.9$ be the probabilities of winning against teams $T_1$, $T_2$, and $T_3$ respectively. Then, $Q_1 = 1 - 0.2 = 0.8$, $Q_2 = 1 - 0.3 = 0.7$, $Q_3 = 1 - 0.9 = 0.1$ are the probabilities of losing each match. (A) Probability of winning all 3 matches: $P(\text{WWW}) = P_1 \cdot P_2 \cdot P_3 = 0.2 \cdot 0.3 \cdot 0.9 = 0.054$ (B) Probability of winning no match: $P(\text{LLL}) = Q_1 \cdot Q_2 \cdot Q_3 = 0.8 \cdot 0.7 \cdot 0.1 = 0.056$ (C) Probability of winning exactly 2 matches: $P(\text{WWL}) = P_1 \cdot P_2 \cdot Q_3 = 0.2 \cdot 0.3 \cdot 0.1 = 0.006$ $P(\text{WLW}) = P_1 \cdot Q_2 \cdot P_3 = 0.2 \cdot 0.7 \cdot 0.9 = 0.126$ $P(\text{LWW}) = Q_1 \cdot P_2 \cdot P_3 = 0.8 \cdot 0.3 \cdot 0.9 = 0.216$ Total = $0.006 + 0.126 + 0.216 = 0.348$ (D) Probability of winning exactly 1 match: $P(\text{WLL}) = P_1 \cdot Q_2 \cdot Q_3 = 0.2 \cdot 0.7 \cdot 0.1 = 0.014$ $P(\text{LWL}) = Q_1 \cdot P_2 \cdot Q_3 = 0.8 \cdot 0.3 \cdot 0.1 = 0.024$ $P(\text{LLW}) = Q_1 \cdot Q_2 \cdot P_3 = 0.8 \cdot 0.7 \cdot 0.9 = 0.504$ Total = $0.014 + 0.024 + 0.504 = 0.542$ Correct Options: (A), (C), (D) |