Four bad oranges are accidently mixed with sixteen good oranges. Find the probability distribution of the number of bad oranges in a draw of two oranges. Also find the mean, variance and standard deviation of the distribution.
Answer & explanation
Correct answer: option 1
The correct answer is Option (1) → Mean = $\frac{2}{5}$, Variance = $\frac{144}{475}$, Standard Deviation = $\frac{12}{\sqrt[5]{19}}$
Let the random variable X be defined as the number of bad oranges in a draw of two oranges. Then X can take values 0, 1, 2.
Total number of oranges = 4 + 16 = 20.
Two oranges can be drawn (simultaneously) in ${^{20}C}_2$ ways.
$P(X = 0)$ = P(drawing no defective orange) = P(both good oranges)
$=\frac{{^{16}C}_2}{{^{20}C}_2}=\frac{16×15}{1×2}×\frac{1×2}{20×19}=\frac{12}{19}$,
$P(X = 1)$ = P(drawing one defective orange and one good orange)
$=\frac{{^4C}_1 × {^{16}C}_1}{{^{20}C}_2}=\frac{4}{1}×\frac{16}{1}×\frac{1×2}{20×19}=\frac{32}{95}$,
$P(X = 2)$ = P(drawing two defective oranges)
$=\frac{{^4C}_2}{{^{20}C}_2}=\frac{4×3}{1×2}×\frac{1×2}{20×19}=\frac{3}{95}$
∴ The probability distribution is $\begin{pmatrix}0&1&2\\\frac{12}{19}&\frac{32}{95}&\frac{3}{95}\end{pmatrix}$
To calculate the mean and variance of the distribution, we construct the following table:
|
$x_i$ |
$p_i$ |
$p_ix_i$ |
$p_i{x_i}^2$ |
|
0 |
$\frac{12}{19}$ |
0 |
0 |
|
1 |
$\frac{32}{95}$ |
$\frac{32}{95}$ |
$\frac{32}{95}$ |
|
2 |
$\frac{3}{95}$ |
$\frac{6}{95}$ |
$\frac{12}{95}$ |
|
Total |
|
$\frac{38}{95}=\frac{2}{5}$ |
$\frac{44}{95}$ |
Mean, $μ = Σp_ix_i =\frac{2}{5}$
Variance, $σ^2 = 2p_i{x_i}^2 - μ^2 =\frac{44}{95}-(\frac{2}{5})^2=\frac{44}{95}-\frac{4}{25}=\frac{144}{475}$.
Standard deviation = $\sqrt{\frac{144}{475}}=\frac{12}{5\sqrt{19}}$