Practicing Success
A rifleman if firing at a distant target and has only 10% chance of hitting it. The least number of rounds, he must fire in order to have more than 50% chance of hitting it at least once, is |
11 9 7 5 |
7 |
Let p be the probability that the rifleman hits the target. Then, $p = \frac{10}{100}=\frac{1}{10}$ and $q=\frac{9}{10}$ Suppose n rounds are fired. Let X be the number of times the rifleman hits the target in n trials. Then, $P(X=r)= {^nC}_r \left(\frac{1}{10}\right)^r \left(\frac{9}{10}\right)^{n-r}, r= 0, 1, 2, ..., n$ Now, $P(X ≥ 1)≥\frac{1}{2}$ $⇒ 1-p(X=0)≥\frac{1}{2}$ $⇒ P(X=0)≤ \frac{1}{2}⇒ \left(\frac{9}{10}\right)^{n}\left(\frac{9}{10}\right)^{n-r}\frac{1}{2}⇒n=7,8,9,...$ Hence, the rifleman must fire at least 7 rounds. |