Probability that A speaks truth is $\frac{4}{5}$. A coin is tossed. A reports that a head appears. The probability that actually there was head is : |
$\frac{1}{2}$ $\frac{1}{5}$ $\frac{4}{5}$ $\frac{3}{5}$ |
$\frac{4}{5}$ |
The correct answer is Option (3) → $\frac{4}{5}$ A speaks truth $P(A)=\frac{4}{5},P(\overline A)=\frac{1}{5}$ H → Head appears $P(H|A)=\frac{1}{2},P(H|\overline A)=\frac{1}{2}$ So $P(A|H)=\frac{P(A).P(H|A)}{P(A)P(H|A)+P(\bar A)P(H|A)}$ $=\frac{4}{5}$ |