A die is thrown twice and the sum of the numbers appearing is observed to be 6. What is the conditional probability that the number 4 has appeared at least once? |
2/5 3/5 4/5 1/5 |
2/5 |
Let e be the event that " number 4 appeared at least once" and F be the event that " the sum of the numbers appearing is 6" Then, E = {(4, 1), (4, 2), (4, 3), (4, 4), (4, 5), (4, 6), (1, 4), (2, 4), (3, 4), (5, 4), (6, 4)} and F = { (1,5), (2, 4), (3, 3), (4,2), (5, 1)} We have P(E) = 11/36 and P(F) = 5/36 Also E∩F = {(2, 4), (4, 2)} Therefore P(E∩F) = 2/36 Hence, the required probability is P(EIF) =P(E∩F)/ P(F) = (2/36)/(5/36) = 2/5
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