In a series of 4 trials, the probability of getting two successes is equal to the probability of getting three successes. The probability of getting at least one success is:
Answer & explanation
Correct answer: option 1
The correct answer is Option (1) → $\frac{609}{625}$
In an binomial distribution,
$P(X=k)=\begin{pmatrix}n\\k\end{pmatrix}p^k (1-p)^{n-k}$
$P(X=2)=P(X=3)$ [Given]
$P(X=2)=\begin{pmatrix}4\\2\end{pmatrix} p^2 (1-p)^2=6p^2(1-p)^2$
$P(X=3)=\begin{pmatrix}4\\3\end{pmatrix} p^3 (1-p)=4p^3(1-p)$
$6p^2(1-p)^2=4p^3(1-p)$
$3(1-p)=2p$
$3=5p$
$p=\frac{3}{5}$
$P(X≥1)=1-p(X=0)$
$P(X=0)=\begin{pmatrix}4\\0\end{pmatrix} p^0 (1-p)^4=(1-p)^4$
$=(1-\frac{3}{5})^4$
$=\frac{16}{625}$
$∴1-P(X=0)$
$=1-\frac{16}{625}=\frac{609}{625}$