An urn contains 5 red and 5 black balls. A ball is drawn at random, its color is noted and is returned to the urn. Moreover, 2 additional balls of the same color are put in the urn and then a ball is drawn at random. The probability that the second drawn ball is red, is: |
$\frac{5}{12}$ $\frac{1}{2}$ $\frac{1}{3}$ $\frac{1}{4}$ |
$\frac{1}{2}$ |
The correct answer is Option (1) → $\frac{1}{2}$ ** Initial composition: 5 red, 5 black Probability(first red) = $\frac{5}{10}=\frac{1}{2}$ Probability(first black) = $\frac{1}{2}$ Case 1: First ball is red Two more red balls added → urn becomes 7 red, 5 black Probability(second red) = $\frac{7}{12}$ Case 2: First ball is black Two more black balls added → urn becomes 5 red, 7 black Probability(second red) = $\frac{5}{12}$ Total probability: $P(\text{second red})=\frac{1}{2}\cdot\frac{7}{12}+\frac{1}{2}\cdot\frac{5}{12}$ $=\frac{7+5}{24}=\frac{12}{24}=\frac{1}{2}$ The probability that the second drawn ball is red is $\frac{1}{2}$. |