'A' speaks the truth in 80% of the cases while 'B' in 90% of the cases. The probability that they contradict each other in stating the same statement is |
$\frac{37}{50}$ $\frac{13}{50}$ $\frac{18}{25}$ $\frac{9}{25}$ |
$\frac{13}{50}$ |
The correct answer is Option (2) → $\frac{13}{50}$ Let: • Probability that A speaks the truth = $P(A_T) = \frac{4}{5}$ • Probability that A lies = $P(A_L) = \frac{1}{5}$ • Probability that B speaks the truth = $P(B_T) = \frac{9}{10}$ • Probability that B lies = $P(B_L) = \frac{1}{10}$ A and B contradict each other in two cases: 1. A tells truth and B lies: $P(A_T \cap B_L) = \frac{4}{5} \cdot \frac{1}{10} = \frac{4}{50}$ 2. A lies and B tells truth: $P(A_L \cap B_T) = \frac{1}{5} \cdot \frac{9}{10} = \frac{9}{50}$ Total probability of contradiction = $\frac{4}{50} + \frac{9}{50} = \frac{13}{50}$ |