If A is any event associated with sample space and If $E_1, E_2, E_3$ are mutually exclusive and exhaustive events. Then which of the following are true? (A) $P(A) = P(E_1)P(E_1|A) + P(E_2)P(E_2|A) + P(E_3)P(E_3|A)$ Choose the correct answer from the options given below: |
(A) and (C) only (A) and (D) only (B) and (D) only (B) and (C) only |
(B) and (C) only |
The correct answer is Option (4) → (B) and (C) only Given $E_1,E_2,E_3$ are mutually exclusive and exhaustive $E_1\cup E_2\cup E_3=S,\; P(E_1)+P(E_2)+P(E_3)=1$ Option (A) $P(A)=P(E_1)P(E_1|A)+P(E_2)P(E_2|A)+P(E_3)P(E_3|A)$ This is incorrect since $P(E_i|A)$ appears instead of $P(A|E_i)$ Option (B) $P(A)=P(A|E_1)P(E_1)+P(A|E_2)P(E_2)+P(A|E_3)P(E_3)$ This is the law of total probability Correct Option (C) $P(E_i|A)=\frac{P(A|E_i)P(E_i)}{\sum_{j=1}^{3}P(A|E_j)P(E_j)},\; i=1,2,3$ This is Bayes’ theorem Correct Option (D) $P(A|E_i)=\frac{P(E_i|A)P(E_i)}{\sum_{j=1}^{3}P(E_j|A)P(E_j)}$ This is not a valid probability identity Incorrect The correct statements are (B) and (C). |