Target Exam

CUET

Subject

-- Mathematics - Section B1

Chapter

Probability

Question:

If A is any event associated with sample space and If $E_1, E_2, E_3$ are mutually exclusive and exhaustive events. Then which of the following are true?

(A) $P(A) = P(E_1)P(E_1|A) + P(E_2)P(E_2|A) + P(E_3)P(E_3|A)$
(B) $P(A) = P(A|E_1)P(E_1) + P(A|E_2)P(E_2) + P(A|E_3)P(E_3)$
(C) $P(E_i|A)=\frac{P(A|E_i)P(E_i)}{Σ_{i=1}^3P(A|E_i)P(E_i)},i = 1,2,3$
(D) $P(A|E_i) =\frac{P(E_i|A)P(E_i)}{Σ_{i=1}^3P(E_i|A)P(E_i)},i = 1,2,3$

Choose the correct answer from the options given below:

Options:

(A) and (C) only

(A) and (D) only

(B) and (D) only

(B) and (C) only

Correct Answer:

(B) and (C) only

Explanation:

The correct answer is Option (4) → (B) and (C) only

Given $E_1,E_2,E_3$ are mutually exclusive and exhaustive

$E_1\cup E_2\cup E_3=S,\; P(E_1)+P(E_2)+P(E_3)=1$

Option (A)

$P(A)=P(E_1)P(E_1|A)+P(E_2)P(E_2|A)+P(E_3)P(E_3|A)$

This is incorrect since $P(E_i|A)$ appears instead of $P(A|E_i)$

Option (B)

$P(A)=P(A|E_1)P(E_1)+P(A|E_2)P(E_2)+P(A|E_3)P(E_3)$

This is the law of total probability

Correct

Option (C)

$P(E_i|A)=\frac{P(A|E_i)P(E_i)}{\sum_{j=1}^{3}P(A|E_j)P(E_j)},\; i=1,2,3$

This is Bayes’ theorem

Correct

Option (D)

$P(A|E_i)=\frac{P(E_i|A)P(E_i)}{\sum_{j=1}^{3}P(E_j|A)P(E_j)}$

This is not a valid probability identity

Incorrect

The correct statements are (B) and (C).