In an economy with an mpc of 0.75, firms cut their autonomous investment by Rs 40 crore. Which chain of effects is correct?
Answer & explanation
Correct answer: option 2
The correct answer is Option (2) → AD line shifts down in parallel → excess supply of Rs 40 crore at the old output → unsold stocks pile up → income falls by Rs 160 crore over the rounds
Autonomous investment is part of A, so a fall in it shifts AD down in parallel. At the old output, demand is now Rs 40 crore short: excess supply. Stocks pile up, producers cut output, and income falls round after round:
\( \displaystyle \Delta Y = \frac{-40}{1 - 0.75} = -160 \)
Option (1) AD line swings down and becomes flatter → excess supply of Rs 40 crore at the old output → unsold stocks pile up → income falls by Rs 160 crore over the rounds — Incorrect. Only a change in the MPC makes the AD line swing; a change in investment shifts it in parallel.
Option (2) AD line shifts down in parallel → excess supply of Rs 40 crore at the old output → unsold stocks pile up → income falls by Rs 160 crore over the rounds — Correct. Parallel shift, excess supply, unsold stocks, and a fall of 4 × 40 = Rs 160 crore.
Option (3) AD line shifts down in parallel → excess supply of Rs 40 crore at the old output → unsold stocks pile up → income falls by Rs 40 crore — Incorrect. Income falls by a multiple of the fall in investment, not by Rs 40 crore only.
Option (4) AD line shifts down in parallel → excess demand of Rs 40 crore at the old output → stocks run down → income falls by Rs 160 crore over the rounds — Incorrect. A fall in demand creates excess supply, not excess demand.
NCERT (2026-27): “Paradox of Thrift … When A changes the line shifts upwards or downwards in parallel. When c changes, however, the line swings up or down. An increase in mps, or a decline in mpc, reduces the slope of the AD line and it swings downwards. We depict the situation in Fig. 4.8.” “4.2 Determination of Income in Two-sector Model … If ex ante demand for final goods falls short of the output of final goods that the producers have planned to produce in a given year, equation (4.3) will not hold. Stocks will be piling up in the warehouses which we may consider as unintended accumulation of inventories. …” “Summary … An increase (decrease) in autonomous spending causes aggregate output of final goods to increase (decrease) by a larger amount through the multiplier process.” |