Practicing Success
A signal which can be green or red with probability $\frac{4}{5}$ and $\frac{1}{5}$ respectively, is received by station A and then transmitted to station B. The probability of each station receiving the signal correctly is $\frac{3}{4}$. IF the signal received at station B is green, then the probability that the original signal was green is |
$\frac{3}{5}$ $\frac{6}{7}$ $\frac{20}{23}$ $\frac{9}{20}$ |
$\frac{20}{23}$ |
It is evident from the tree diagram that $P(B_G)=\frac{4}{5}×\frac{3}{4}×\frac{3}{4}+\frac{4}{5}×\frac{1}{4}×\frac{1}{4}+\frac{1}{5}×\frac{3}{4}×\frac{1}{4}+\frac{1}{5}×\frac{1}{4}×\frac{3}{4}=\frac{23}{40}$ $P(\frac{B_G}{G})=\frac{3}{4}×\frac{3}{4}+\frac{1}{4}×\frac{1}{4}=\frac{5}{8}$ $∴ P(B_G ∩ G) = P(G) P(\frac{B_G}{G})$ $⇒ P(B_G ∩ G) =\frac{4}{5}×\frac{5}{8}=\frac{1}{2}$ ∴ Required Probability $=P(\frac{B_G}{G})=\frac{P(B_G ∩ G)}{P(B_G)}$ $=\frac{\frac{1}{2}}{\frac{23}{40}}=\frac{20}{23}$ |