Target Exam

CUET

Subject

-- Mathematics - Section B1

Chapter

Probability

Question:

An urn I contains 3 white and 4 blue balls, while urn II contains 5 white and 6 blue balls. One ball is drawn at random from one of the urns and it is found to be white. The probability that it was drawn from urn II is

Options:

$\frac{53}{68}$

$\frac{5}{38}$

$\frac{3}{68}$

$\frac{35}{68}$

Correct Answer:

$\frac{35}{68}$

Explanation:

The correct answer is Option (4) → $\frac{35}{68}$

$P(\text{Urn I})=\frac{1}{2},\;P(\text{Urn II})=\frac{1}{2}$

$P(W|\text{I})=\frac{3}{7},\;P(W|\text{II})=\frac{5}{11}$

$P(W)=\frac12\cdot\frac37+\frac12\cdot\frac5{11} =\frac{33+35}{154} =\frac{68}{154} =\frac{34}{77}$

$P(\text{Urn II}|W)=\frac{P(W|\text{II})P(\text{II})}{P(W)} =\frac{\frac12\cdot\frac5{11}}{\frac{34}{77}} =\frac{5}{22}\cdot\frac{77}{34} =\frac{35}{68}$

The probability that the ball was drawn from Urn II is $\frac{35}{68}$.