One person speaks truth in 60% of the cases and another person in 80% of the cases. They are likely to agree in stating the same fact in |
48% of the cases 56% of the cases 58% of the cases 70% of the cases |
56% of the cases |
The correct answer is Option (2) → 56% of the cases Let $T_1$ be the event that the first person speaks truth $P(T_1)=0.6,\;P(T_1')=0.4$ Let $T_2$ be the event that the second person speaks truth $P(T_2)=0.8,\;P(T_2')=0.2$ They agree if both speak truth or both lie $P(\text{agreement})=P(T_1T_2)+P(T_1'T_2')$ $=P(T_1)P(T_2)+P(T_1')P(T_2')$ $=0.6\times0.8+0.4\times0.2$ $=0.48+0.08$ $=0.56$ The probability that both agree is $0.56$. |